The Toronto Blue Jay face the Baltimore Oriole on Monday July 28 2025. The game start at 6:35 pm ET. ET at Camden Yards. Both teams have clashed ten times this season. The series stands even at 5-5. Eight of those matchup went over the total score.
This matchup is key for both team in the AL East standing. Toronto aim to stay on top with it strong pitching and hot bat. Baltimore look to break a losing spell and climb back into playoff contention. Fan expect a tight game with heavy hitting from both side.
This preview gives you team stats, starting pitchers’ records, player form, and betting insights to guide predictions and picks.
How are the Toronto Blue Jay performing?
Toronto own the best record in MLB at 63-42. The team won its last series against Detroit. It also has eight wins in the last ten games. The offense score 4.7 runs per game. Bo Bichette Vladimir Guerrero Jr and George Springer lead the lineup.
Chris Bassitt will start Monday. He hold an 11-4 record with a 3.88 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 22 start. He pitched 7.1 inning against the Yankees last time and allowed only three earned run with eight strikeout. On the road, he has a 5.66 ERA in 49.1 innings. Against Baltimore Bassitt has gone 5-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 58 strikeout in his career.
Toronto pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA. The rotation include Jose Berrios Kevin Gausman and Max Scherzer. This depth help Toronto win close games and keep momentum late in the season.
Injury report
Catcher Alejandro Kirk might miss the game with a concussion.
How are the Baltimore Orioles performing?
Baltimore hold a 47-58 record. The team has lost seven of it last ten games. The lineup averages 4.2 runs per game placing 20th in MLB. The pitching staff hold a 4.90 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP.At home it slip to a 5.05 ERA.
Zach Eflin start for Baltimore. He is 6-5 with a 5.78 ERA this year. In his last start he allowed two runs on two hit in five inning against Cleveland. Against Toronto he has gone 4-3 with a 5.40 ERA in his career.
The Orioles rely on Gunnar Henderson Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn. Together, they have 186 hit and 81 RBIs. Tyler O’Neill bring power and has hit home run in three straight home game. Despite this poor pitching and uneven hitting keep Baltimore low in the standing.
Injury report
No new injuries are reported for Monday.
Key betting trends
Why Baltimore might win
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Won three of the last four games as home underdogs.
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Covered the run line in four straight home games against winning teams.
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Led after five innings in four of the last five night games against winning teams.
Why Toronto might win
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Won seven of the last eight games against AL East opponents.
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Covered the run line in four straight games against Baltimore following a loss.
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Chris Bassitt posted six or more strikeouts in his last three night starts against AL East teams with losing records.
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. recorded multiple hits in five straight night games.
Player prop highlights
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Tyler O’Neill (Orioles) – Home run in three straight home games.
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Zach Eflin (Orioles) – Four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 home appearances.
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Ryan O’Hearn (Orioles) – At least one hit in each of his last 10 Monday night games.
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) – Two or more hits in five straight night games.
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Bo Bichette (Blue Jays) – Double in three straight games against AL opponents.
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Chris Bassitt (Blue Jays) – Win in four straight night starts.
Expert game prediction
Toronto has not dropped two game in a row since the All Star break. The team plays with confidence and balance. The lineup hits well, and the rotation keeps opponents under control. Chris Bassitt remains a key factor. He has allowed only seven earned run over his last 26.1 inning. His strikeout number and command show he can handle pressure game like this.
Baltimore shows flashes of improvement but struggles to maintain momentum. Zach Eflin recent form is concerning. He gave up 23 earned run in his last 26.2 innings, showing problems with control and consistency. The Orioles bullpen has also failed to stop rallies late in game leaving the team exposed against strong lineup.
Toronto offense looks sharp. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette produce big hit in crucial moment. George Springer add depth giving Toronto multiple scoring threat. Bassitt steady arm combine with these hitter to make Toronto a difficult opponent.
Baltimore’s lineup has power but lacks timing against quality pitching. Unless Eflin deliver a rare standout performance the Orioles will struggle to keep pace.
Toronto current form reliable pitching, and explosive bat give them a strong edge. Expect the Blue Jays to control the game early and build a lead that Baltimore cannot overcome.
Final pick
The Toronto Blue Jays are the safest and strongest pick to win this Monday night game. Everything about their current form points to another victory. The rotation is deep and Chris Bassitt has been one of the most reliable arm in the league over the last month. He limit damage early control the strike zone and give the bullpen a chance to close out win.
Toronto offense continues to deliver in high pressure game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette are producing multi hit game creating constant scoring threat. George Springer add power and experience to the lineup while the bottom half of the order has improved it on base number. This depth allows Toronto to pressure Baltimore shaky pitching staff from start to finish.
Baltimore on the other hand enter this game in poor form. The team has lost key ground in the AL East and has struggled to keep opponent off the scoreboard. Zach Eflin recent struggles highlight the problem. He has allowed 23 earned run in 26.2 inning showing trouble with command and velocity. Even if Baltimore scores early it bullpen has not held late lead this season ranking among the worst in closing efficiency.
Toronto’s defense also deserves mention. The team has tightened fielding mistake and turned critical double play in recent win. This strong defensive play reduce extra base runner which is a major factor against a Baltimore lineup that relies on timely hit.
Momentum favors Toronto. The Blue Jays have not dropped consecutive game since the All Star break. They thrive against divisional rival and have a winning record against AL East opponent this month. Historically they have also responded well after loss bouncing back with convincing victories.
Given these factor—elite pitching from Bassitt consistent offense improved defense and strong divisional play the Blue Jay are positioned to win. Bettor can feel confident backing Toronto to secure another road victory against a struggling Orioles squad.
